Archive for September 29th, 2009

2009-10 Top 5 Super Bowl Contenders & Superbowl Odds

September 29th, 2009 by Jay (Bankroll Sports Contributor) | Posted in NFL Football  

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lombardi trophy 2009 10 Top 5 Super Bowl Contenders & Superbowl OddsThe 2009 NFL Football Season is in some cases upside down from the way the league looked in 2008. The Tennessee Titans who started their 2008 season a perfect 10-0 remain winless at 0-3. The same can be said for the Carolina Panthers who were tied with the Giants for best regular season record in the NFC just one year ago. At least the Panthers are just 2-0, but are pretty sizeable underdogs entering tomorrow night’s battle with Dallas. Still, if you look at some of the teams in the league who would have thought the Jets at this time appear to be the best team in the AFC East over the Patriots and San Francisco sits a top the NFC West at a perfect 3-0.

It just goes to show that no matter how much preseason predictions and reviews that nothing truly matters until teams actually step onto the gridiron. While the season is definitely going to have its twist and turns throughout the remaining 13 weeks of the regular season, we are going to break down some of the teams that may have a shot at the 2010 Super Bowl based what we have seen thus far in the year. Keep in mind that you will have teams that get cold and hot, and things will definitely change. However, it’s hard to pass up the chance to catch the Super Bowl odds while they are at their most profitable. Take a second to look at a few teams who are considered to be 2010 Super Bowl Champion contenders.

#5. New Orleans Saints - 9 to 1 (@ BetUS)

The New Orleans Saints quick 3-0 start may be a surprise to some, but if you paid attention to our preseason predictions we had the Saints to win the NFC South due to their potent offense. Well the season has a long way to go, but so far Drew Brees is proving us right. The Saints are 3-0 including an impressive win over Philadelphia in that stretch. Brees already has 9 touchdowns in just 3 games and is completing 70% of his passes while owning the highest quarterback rating in the league at 118.1. The Saints offense which is averaging 40 points per game remains one of the most prolific passing attacks in the NFL. Last season the Saints were extremely good on offense, but the defense was just as horrible giving up 25 points per game. The Saints defense definitely will not be the strong point of the team. However if they can have more similar performances like they did last Sunday holding Buffalo to 7 points and 243 total yards, then they are going to be extremely difficult to beat.

#4. Minnesota Vikings – 12 to 1 (@ BetUS)

Lets just first start off by saying “wow” to another Brett Farve classic last week. If you missed it, Farve threw a 50 yard laser from the 40 yard line to the back of the end zone finding WR Greg Lewis with 2 seconds to go lifting the Vikings over the 49ers in what has to be the play of the year by season’s end. Farve is the reason the Vikings could contend by the end of the season if he can stay healthy. The reason is not that he is the most important player on the field because that role goes to Adrian Peterson, but because he can make the plays when needed with his arm. The Vikings have struggled to find a quarterback that could move the ball without giving up 17 interceptions as they did in 2008. Farve has thrown just 1 pick this year even though he has thrown more than any other quarterback in his career. However, do not expect to see a lot of picks thrown by the 40 year old this year. The Vikings will keep the work load on running back Adrian Peterson who is undoubtedly the best rusher in the NFL fresh off a 1,760 yard season in 2008. The Vikings won the NFC North with all the troubles in the passing game last year. Imagine if they get consistency in the passing game and the defense continues to improve.

#3. New England Patriots - 8 to 1 (@ Oddsmaker)

First off let’s go ahead and state that the Patriots have looked absolutely nothing like a Super Bowl caliber team thus far this season. However, it’s hard to think a team this talented will not explode back to the dominating team that has ruled the NFL over the last decade. Tom Brady got off to a rusty start and perhaps has not looked as sharp as normal, but that can be expected following a knee injury. However, the offense has too many weapons to be contained. Sure, the New York Jets are playing well but the Patriots remain favorites to win the Super Bowl. New England bounced back last week beating up on the Atlanta Falcons 26-10 which should indicate even when they are not playing their best they are still among the best in the league. Brady has not been on target when the deep throws and the offense has yet to get the production needed from Wes Welker. However once those few misfires start sparking again, the Patriots are going to be tough to beat in the latter part of the season.

#2. Baltimore Ravens - 9 to 1 (@ BetUS)

It may be difficult to judge just how good the Ravens are considering they have yet to play any team with a winning record from 2008. However, we still have some high praises for this team. It all starts with the defense which is again among tops in the league. The Ravens defense ranked 2nd overall just a season ago and they could be well on their way to another strong year. We predicted the Ravens to pull of the upset over Pittsburgh in the preseason and they are going to have every opportunity. The reason the Ravens may be destined for more success in 2009 is due to the offense that has matured into a productive unit. QB Joe Flacco threw for a career high 342 yards in last week’s blowout over Cleveland 34-3. Flacco has looked sharp in just his 2nd year in the league and as a result 4 different wide receivers are already over 100 yards receiving. Add to the fact, Ray Rice and Willis McGahee are coming along nicely in the backfield and this team is going to be as dangerous as any in the AFC. The Ravens offense has slowly but consistently improved and they are going to be solid this season. As long as the defense does not fade, the Ravens could easily make a run at the AFC Championship.

#1. Indianapolis Colts – 12 to 1 (@ BetUS)

These odds are very inviting with the Colts sitting as +1200 to win the Super Bowl. Manning has been red hot in the opening games throwing over 300 yards in each contest. The Colts blew out the defending NFC Champions last week in Arizona 31-10. The Colts defense is playing extremely well holding opponents to just 15 points per game thus far in the season. The Colts defense will play a huge factor in the Colts success, but as of now everything seems to be on track. If Manning stays on fire, the Colts return to glory may be inevitable. Still, they are going to need Joseph Addai or rookie Donald Brown to get the running game going. The Colts are going to face some situations where they need their running backs to pick up first downs so it is imperative the rushing game come out of extinction. If that happens, there is not any other team in the league playing better right now.

Honorable Mention -

I’m sure some may wonder why the New York Giants are not on the list even though they may be Super Bowl contenders. The Giants are receiving 7 to 1 odds to win the Super Bowl and off to a solid 3-0 start. However, the Giants still are a concern because they way they fall apart last year. The Giants barely escaped a Washington team that was beaten by Detroit last week and hit a game winning field goal in their win over Dallas who many would consider as a bit over rated. QB Eli Manning has played well but that is nothing new for the Giants early in the year. Their biggest challenge is a lot like their biggest foes the Dallas Cowboys. The question is how will the team hold up later in the year? The big play threat at the receiver position is still in question. Steve Smith has played well and so has the emergence of Mario Manningham. However, it will be interesting to see how those young guys hold up. If they get better and do not fade, the Giants will be right in the mix. If not then it will be another disappointing story like the 2008 season.

Current odds to win the Super Bowl From BetUS (as of 9/29/09)
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Pittsburgh Steelers     14/1 
New England Patriots     13/2 
Dallas Cowboys     28/1 
New York Giants     13/2 
Indianapolis Colts     9/1
San Diego Chargers     16/1
Baltimore Ravens     10/1
Philadelphia Eagles     14/1
New Orleans Saints     7/1
Minnesota Vikings     10/1
Carolina Panthers     200/1 
Tennessee Titans     100/1 
Atlanta Falcons     28/1 
Green Bay Packers     28/1 
Denver Broncos     33/1 
Jacksonville Jaguars     50/1 
Arizona Cardinals     50/1 
New York Jets     22/1 
Miami Dolphins     100/1 
Tampa Bay Buccaneers     500/1 
Buffalo Bills     125/1 
Chicago Bears     20/1 
Washington Redskins     100/1 
Seattle Seahawks     100/1 
Houston Texans     65/1 
San Francisco 49ers     28/1 
Cleveland Browns     1000/1 
Oakland Raiders     400/1 
Cincinnati Bengals     40/1 
St Louis Rams     1000/1 
Detroit Lions     400/1 
Kansas City Chiefs     750/1 

2009 NFL Week 4 Lines; Quick Breakdown

September 29th, 2009 by Richard Boyle (Bankroll Sports Contributor) | Posted in NFL Football  

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Note: The week four NFL lines (sides and totals) from BetUS Sportsbook (100% signup bonus when you click here) are listed at the bottom of this page if you wish to bypass our week four lines breakdown.

Quick breakdown and early looks at the week 4 NFL lines (which are listed below); Last week was a sportsbook’s nightmare and the chalk-eating public’s dream week. The chalk eaters cashed in big (which would mean that the public bettors also cashed), as the favorites were 11-5 over the underdogs this weekend. Home dogs were also a horrible 2-5 against the spread on Sunday. Don’t expect this to happen again as the oddsmakers are sure to make adjustments to avoid too many covers by the favorites. As expected, there are a lot of very large spreads in the week 4 NFL lines. Out of the 12 NFL games that have opening spreads on Tuesday, eight of these games have spreads of 6 points or more and five of them have spreads of at least 9 points. Week four is definitely not the board you want to look at if you like betting on the favorites. However, it’s also not your board if you like betting on home underdogs, as there are only four home dogs out of the 12 NFL games with opening numbers. In week three, road teams and home teams were an even 8-8 against the spread. Oddsmakers have also been on the ball for the most part with over/unders this year, with an 8-8 split in the first two weeks and 9-7 (in favor of overs) last week. The bye weeks will begin in week 4 with Atlanta, Philadelphia, Carolina, and Arizona having the week off. In the only week four NFL matchup between two 3-0 teams, the New Orleans Saints are big 6.5 point favorites at home vs. the red hot New York Jets. Every other division leader, with the exception of San Francisco, currently holds a 3-0 record and is also favored to win in week 4. All of the 0-3 teams, with the exception of Miami and Tennessee, are big underdogs of 6 points or more. Tennessee is actually giving 3 points on the road vs. Jacksonville and Miami is getting 3 points at home vs. the Buffalo Bills. The Monday Night Football matchup for week 4 features the (3-0) Minnesota Vikings as 3½ point favorites at home vs. the (2-1) Green Bay Packers in what should prove to be an outstanding NFC North showdown. Expect a lot more home dogs and underdogs as a whole to cash in week four as favorite/underdog ATS records tend to even out from week to week in the NFL. Take a look at the 2009 week four spreads and schedule from top sponsor, BetUS Sportsbook below. nfl 2009 NFL Week 4 Lines; Quick Breakdown

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2009 NFL Football Week Four Lines From BetUS (as of 9/29 @ 12:30 pm ET):
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NFL Week 4 Lines For Sunday, October 04, 2009      
1:00pm (ET)            
  201 Oakland Raiders +9  -110   41 O -110
  202 Houston Texans -9  -110     U -110
             
1:00pm (ET)            
  203 Tennessee Titans -3  -110   41½ O -110
  204 Jacksonville Jaguars +3  -110     U -110
             
1:00pm (ET)            
  205 Baltimore Ravens +2  -110   44½ O -110
  206 New England Patriots -2  -110     U -110
           
1:00pm (ET)            
  207 Cincinnati Bengals -6½  -110   38 O -110
  208 Cleveland Browns +6½  -110     U -110
           
1:00pm (ET)            
  209 New York Giants -10  -110   42½ O -110
  210 Kansas City Chiefs +10  -110     U -110
           
1:00pm (ET)            
  211 Detroit Lions +10½  -110   39 O -110
  212 Chicago Bears -10½  -110     U -110
           
1:00pm (ET)            
  213 Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7  -110   37 O -110
  214 Washington Redskins -7  -110     U -110
             
4:05pm (ET)            
  215 Seattle Seahawks +9½   44 O -110
  216 Indianapolis Colts -9½     U -110
           
4:05pm (ET)            
  217 New York Jets +6½  -110   45½ O -110
  218 New Orleans Saints -6½  -110     U -110
           
4:05pm (ET)            
  219 Buffalo Bills -1  -110   37 O -110
  220 Miami Dolphins +1  -110     U -110
           
4:15pm (ET)            
  221 St Louis Rams +9½  -110   37½ O -110
  222 San Francisco 49ers -9½  -110     U -110
           
4:15pm (ET)            
  223 Dallas Cowboys -3   42½ O -110
  224 Denver Broncos +3     U -110
           
8:20pm (ET)            
  225 San Diego Chargers +6½  -110   43 O -110
  226 Pittsburgh Steelers -6½  -110     U -110
NBC            
             
NFL Week 4 Lines For Monday, October 05, 2009      
8:35pm (ET)            
  227 Green Bay Packers +3½  -110   46 O -110
  228 Minnesota Vikings -3½  -110     U -110
ESPN