Archive for August 17th, 2009

2009 Michael Vick Prop Odds, Free Picks & Predictions

August 17th, 2009 by Travis Edwards (Bankroll Sports Contributor) | Posted in NFL Football   1 Comment »

List of Michael Vick Prop Odds Can Be Found Below The Picks At Bottom of Post

One of the major headlines that has overshadowed much of the NFL preseason activity is the recent reinstatement of Michael Vick. The former Atlanta Falcons quarterback gained popularity among fans for his extreme athleticism and undeniable quickness with his feet after bursting into the NFL in 2001. Vick, unlike most quarterbacks, could beat you with his legs just as well as his arm, making him one of the most explosive and dangerous players in the league. In 2006, Vick was able to throw for 2,474 yards and rack up 1,039 additional yards on the ground. However, as we all know, Vick succumb to felony offenses following the 2006 season in regards to leading a dog fighting ring. Vick was sentenced to 23 months in prison and most people assumed he would never play in the NFL again. The sporting world’s most controversial figure not only served his prison sentence, but recently was conditionally reinstated and signed a two year contract with the Philadelphia Eagles.

The recent commotion has drawn outspoken criticism to the Eagles and Michael Vick personally. It seems the majority of fans still hold strong criticism against Vick for his actions and needless to say are not giving him any best wishes. The even more interesting topic is if Vick will be able to make any type of difference with the Eagles. After all, he has been away from football for two straight years. Also, he will be playing behind one of the better quarterbacks in the NFL in Donovan McNabb. Will he get in quality playing time of will the Eagles use him at different positions? Surely, Eagles Coach Andy Reid would have never taken a chance with Vick if they did not feel it would be beneficial to the team. However, how much success can we expect from the notorious football player? Major sports books have opened all types of betting lines concerning Michael Vick due to all the attention that has been centered around this story. Whether you love or hate him, Vick is a very gifted athlete. Nevertheless, what can you really expect from Vick in 2009? We take a look at some interesting prop bets and give our insight on a few Michael Vick betting opportunities to consider for the 2009 NFL Football Season.

Prop Bet #1 – Will Michael Vick remain on the Eagles roster by week #17?

Yes – -1000
No – +500

The biggest question most have surrounding Michael Vick is if he will get to play? Rest assured Vick will step onto the field this year whether it will be when the game is out of reach or other types of scenarios. However, how he will play should be the main concern. If he does not perform or seems like he can not return to his explosive playmaking ability as before, the Eagles can cut or trade him without losing any considerable amounts of money. The most likely scenario is that Vick will step onto the grid iron for the first time later in the season as opposed to early in the year. There are plenty of reasons why Vick will still be on the Eagles roster at the end of the year. Philadelphia would have never invested in Vick if they were not going to give him time to get his edge back. Understandably, Vick will not come out as sharp as before after being away for two years. The Eagles staff understands this and they will definitely give Vick plenty of time to work his way back to the top. However even if the latter where to happen and Vick did not perform up to par, then a trade is very unlikely. There were not any teams that were stepping forward to sign Vick recently before knowing his capability. If he does not show any type of progress, surely no team will want him considering the circumstances. However, as mentioned earlier the Eagles will be patient with Vick and there is absolutely no reason to believe he will not still be with the team by seasons end. The odds are not extremely profitable, but this is a sure bet.

Free Pick – Yes -1000

Prop Bet #2 – Total rushing yards on Vick’s first attempt in 2009?

Over 5 Yards -130
Under 5 Yards -110

Glancing at this bet and your first instinct was likely to jump on the over here. After all, the most memorable aspect of Vick’s game is his elusive legs and tremendous speed that were able to rack up big chunks of yards on any given down. However before his departure from the NFL, Vick was focusing on passing first and use his running ability as a last result despite gaining over 1,000 yards in 2006 on the ground. If Vick is at the quarterback position in his first snaps on the field, then the chance he tucks the first ball away and takes off down field is highly unlikely. The most probably scenario is some quick out routes to get things started off smoothly. The running will not become a focus until Vick is totally comfortable behind center. Even more reason to believe his first run will not be successful is because there is already talk of Vick getting action in the backfield. While this seems a bit of a stretch, that would reduce the chance of the big gain on the first rushing attempt. Another likely scenario, Vick could be used in a type of “wildcat” formation and take direct snap up the middle. Rest assured when Vick steps on field defenses will be fully aware as he will draw tons of attention again reducing the possibility of a big gain. Normally it takes players some time to get back in rhythm after taking so much time off and that will be the likely scenario when Vick steps on the field. Go against the popular perception here, and choose the most realistic outcome.

Free Pick – Under 5 Yards -110

Prop Bet #3 – Vick’s first pass attempt will be a complete or incomplete?

Complete -155
Incomplete or INT +125

Our final prop bet action is actually an interesting pick. There are legitimate arguments for either selection here that are valid. One possible outcome is that Vick’s first passing attempt could show the rust that has built up over the last two years leading to an incompletion. On the other hand going back to what we said earlier, Vick will likely take baby steps with his first few plays. There is no reason to expect him to take any chances deep down the field on his first attempt of the season. Deep passes will be where his arm really shows the effects of being outside the game for such a lengthy period. However, Vicks first pass will likely be something very simple increasing the odds the pass will be complete. Expect something like a quick hitch route, or 5-10 yard out route that will be delivered quickly and hard to defend. Again, defenses will be really concerned with his legs and likely be daring Vick to throw the football. Expect Vick to complete the first pass of the season with some type of simple throw as he gains his rhythm back.

Free Pick – Completion -155 

 

Current Michael Vick Prop & Future odds From BetUS:
(Get A Huge 100% Bonus @ BetUS Sportsbook Using
This Link) 

Total Passing Yards on Vicks 1st Completion in 09

Moneyline

Over 8½ Yards    

-120

Under 8½ Yards    

-120

 

 

Vicks Longest Completion in 2009

Moneyline

Over 33½ Yards    

-120

Under 33½ Yards    

-120

 

 

Vicks First Pass in 2009 Will Be

Moneyline

Complete    

-155

Incomplete or INT    

115

 

 

Total Rushing Yards on Vicks 1st Attempt in 09

Moneyline

Over 5 Yards    

-130

Under 5 Yards    

-110

 

 

Vicks Longest Rush in 2009

Moneyline

Over 25½ Yards    

-120

Under 25½ Yards    

-120

 

 

Will Vick be on an Eagle Week 1 of the 2010 Season

Moneyline

Yes    

-250

No    

175

Current Michael Vick Prop & Future odds From Sportsbook.com:
(Get 50% Bonus + a $25 Free Bet @ Sportsbook.com Using
This Link)

Will Vick Start a 2009-2010 NFL Regular Season game as Quarterback?

 

Yes

250

 

No

-400

 

 

 

Vick’s Total Passing Yards on FIRST Completion in the 2009-2010 NFL Regular Season

 

Yards on First Completion

Over 8.5 (-115)

 

Yards on First Completion

Under 8.5 (-115)

 

 

 

Vick’s Longest Completion in the 2009-2010 NFL Regular Season

 

Longest Completion

Over 33.5 (-115)

 

Longest Completion

Under 33.5 (-115)

 

 

 

Vick’s First Pass Will Be in the 2009-2010 NFL Regular Season

 

Complete

-155

 

Incomplete or INT

125

 

 

 

Vick’s Total Rushing Yards on FIRST ATTEMPT in the 2009-2010 NFL Regular Season

 

Yards on First Attempt

Over 5.5 (-125)

 

Yards on First Attempt

Under 5.5 (-105)

 

 

 

Vick’s Longest Rush from Scrimmage in the 2009-2010 NFL Regular Season

 

Longest Rush

Over 25.5 (-115)

 

Longest Rush

Under 25.5 (-115)

 

 

 

Will Vick  be on the Eagles Roster on Week #17 of the 2009-2010 NFL Regular Season?

 

Yes

-1000

 

No

500

 

 

 

Will Vick be on the Eagles Roster on Week #1 of the 2010-2011 NFL Regular Season?

 

Yes

-250

 

No

175