Free NFL Picks – 2009 Preseason Prop Bets

August 14th, 2009 by Travis Edwards (Bankroll Sports Contributor)

The NFL preseason football action is set to officially get under way Thursday as teams prepare for the upcoming season. Over the next few weeks we will continue to evaluate the team’s talent levels and what to expect for this year’s football season. However, teams will not completely show everything they have until the first week of the season in mid September. Until that point in time, you can find all kinds of preseason betting odds at sports books like BetUS Sportsbook (100% Bonus When Using This Link). There are tons of betting lines from individual odds, win totals, division finishes, playoff odds, and more. We take a look at all the preseason betting activity and encourage you to take advantage of all these betting opportunities as well. Take a look at some free prop bet picks for the upcoming weeks prior to the start of the 2009 NFL season.

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Prop Bet #1 – Total Touchdown Passes (Brees vs. Roethlisberger)

Drew Brees -7 ½ (-120)
Ben Roethlisberger +7 ½ (-120)

The odds on this particular prop bet are surprisingly profitable. Drew Brees led the NFL in touchdown passes in 2008 with 34 scores. Ben Roethlisberger was able to put up 17 touchdowns for the Super Bowl Champions. In retrospect, both quarterbacks had solid seasons behind center. Roethlisberger is not going to put up 30 plus touchdowns given the Steelers old school style of football and that is why he has a 7 ½ touchdown cushion for this match-up. Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints on the other hand have a lethal passing offense that rarely runs the ball for success. The Saints should be another big threat in the NFL this season on offense and Brees is certain to put up solid numbers again. However, don’t expect Roethlisberger to be able to contend despite the 7 ½ cushion. Outside of the breakout year in 2007, Roethlisberger has failed to put up over 20 touchdowns since coming into the league in 2004. The Steelers have too much faith in their defense to become a pass happy offense and that is the reason that Drew Brees will easily cover this match-up.

Pick: Drew Brees -7 ½

Prop Bet #2 – Dallas Cowboys Team Total Sacks in 2009

Over 50 ½ +130
Under 50 ½ -170

The Dallas Cowboys led the NFL in sacks in 2008 racking up 59 in total on the year. DeMarcus Ware led the NFL individually in sacks with 20 on the season which just 2.5 shy on an NFL record. Greg Ellis helped matters recording 8 sacks on the season. However, this season defensive ends Greg Ellis and Chris Canty are both gone. However, this season the sacks are likely to go down. Not only are both starting defensive ends gone, but it is unlikely to expect Ware to have another 20 sack season. Ware is definitely the best sack artist in the league, but those are strong numbers to try and repeat. Canty and Ellis combined for 11 sacks last year. The replacement on the defensive front is DE Igor Olshansky who has only been able to accomplish 11.5 sacks in the last 5 seasons. The Cowboys will still get to the quarterback often, but it just won’t be as much as they did a year ago.

Pick: Under 50 ½

Prop Bet #3 – Odds to Miss/Make the 2009 NFL Playoffs

New York Giants

Miss Playoffs +125
Make Playoffs -175

The New York Giants got off to an extremely strong 11-1 start in 2008 and flirted with the opportunity to repeat as Super Bowl Champions. However, as the season progressed off the field issues with Plaxico Burress may have caused distractions that sent the Giants on a downward spiral to close out the season. The Giants offense nearly averaged 30 points per game before the incident involving Burress. However, after their biggest wide receiver was gone the offense failed to have any success in the air. Eli Manning ranked in the bottom half of the NFL with just a 60.3 completion percentage. The Giants lost 4 of their last 5 games on the season including an opening round playoff defeat from the Philadelphia Eagles. The Giants big success came from the rush offense that ranked first in the league. Derrick Ward and Brandon Jacobs each racked up over 1,000 yards. However, the two will be broken up this season as Ward signed with the Buccaneers giving the entire work load to Jacobs. Jacobs will have success behind one of the better offensive lines in football, but the entire rushing totals should take a drop. The big question will be the pass offense and if they can establish a down the field threat. If the end of the season was any omen to 2009, then things will not fair well. If the offense struggles early on, they may not be able to right the ship.

Pick: Miss Playoffs +125

Prop Bet #4 – Chicago Bears Regular Season Point Total

376 or more +160
345-375 +180
345 or less +160

The Chicago Bears failed to have much offensive success in 2008, but they were still able to produce 375 points on the regular season. The Bears now will reload with the talented arm of Jay Cutler behind center to make a run at the NFC North. Cutler did similar type of magic when arriving in Denver and there is absolutely no reason to think the Bears would score fewer points with one of the best quarterbacks in the league behind center. Matt Forte scored 8 touchdowns on the ground last season while the Bears only scored 15 as a team on the ground. While Cutler will provide more consistency moving the ball, it may be the rushing touchdown totals that see a big increase. Expect many more chances for Chicago to move the ball through the air down field, while Forte should be able to punch it in more often in the red zone. The Bears are still a few good receivers from being one of the better offenses in the NFC, but that still does not mean Cutler will get the most out of the talent that is on the field.

Pick: 376 or more

Prop Bet #5 – Baltimore Ravens Team Interceptions Total

Over 20 -110
Under 20 -130

The Baltimore Ravens were among the most dangerous defenses in the NFL last season. The Ravens ranked in the top 3 in every major defensive category while forcing 26 interceptions on the season. Pro Bowl safety Ed Reed piled up 9 picks on the season to lead the NFL. The secondary will be even stronger this season with the addition of Dominique Foxworth. Foxworth was signed to a 4 year deal and will be a very solid player for the Ravens secondary. Foxworth is not known for grabbing interceptions. However considering the amount of pressure the Ravens get up front and playing along side Ed Reed, Foxworth interception totals are to likely take a big jump. The Ravens also still possess one of best linebacker groups in the league as well. Baltimore linebackers are consistently able to grab interceptions when they drop back in coverage after showing blitz. Their versatility makes the defense that much more dangerous and they should be able to pick off 20 plus passes again this season.

Pick: Over 20


Posted in NFL Football on Friday, August 14th, 2009 at 12:18 am (EST)
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